COVID-19 Projection Tool: Details and Resources

We’re providing a complimentary tool to give communities, businesses, governments, and insurers a better understanding of what the next 4 weeks of the COVID-19 pandemic may look like.

Explore the COVID-19 Projection Tool

This ArcGIS tool uses a probabilistic pandemic catastrophe model to provide COVID-19 infections and mortality projections globally at a country level.

Catastrophe models are useful to understand the impact of low-frequency, high-severity events, such as pandemics where historical data is limited. The outputs provided by these tools consider many variations in data availability and reliability, including underreporting.

Get in Touch

AIR COVID-19 FAQs

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

This page contains a selection of frequently asked questions about our COVID-19 Projection Tool. It includes important details on how to interpret the results.

Read: COVID-19 Projection Tool FAQ

Methods and Assumptions

This document contains details on the modeling methods and assumptions used to create the projections within this tool.

Read: Methods and Assumptions

More COVID-19 Insights

For additional insights on COVID-19 impacts across the (re)insurance industry, visit our resource page.

Read: COVID-19 Insurance Industry Impacts

Catastrophe Modeling 101

New to catastrophe modeling? Get a quick primer.

Read: About Catastrophe Modeling

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