COVID-19 Projection Tool: Details and Resources

We’re providing a complimentary tool to give communities, businesses, governments, and insurers a better understanding of what the next 4 weeks of the COVID-19 pandemic may look like.

Explore the COVID-19 Projection Tool

This ArcGIS tool uses a probabilistic pandemic catastrophe model to provide COVID-19 infections and mortality projections globally at a country level.

Catastrophe models are useful to understand the impact of low-frequency, high-severity events, such as pandemics where historical data is limited. The outputs provided by these tools consider many variations in data availability and reliability, including underreporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

This page contains a selection of frequently asked questions about our COVID-19 Projection Tool. It includes important details on how to interpret the results.

Read: COVID-19 Projection Tool FAQ

Methods and Assumptions

This document contains details on the modeling methods and assumptions used to create the projections within this tool.

Read: Methods and Assumptions

More COVID-19 Insights

For additional insights on COVID-19 impacts across the (re)insurance industry, visit our resource page.

Read: COVID-19 Insurance Industry Impacts

Catastrophe Modeling 101

New to catastrophe modeling? Get a quick primer.

Read: About Catastrophe Modeling



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