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Managing U.S. Flood Risk: Part I, Modeling Hurricane-Induced Precipitation

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The 2010 Haiti Earthquake: From Devastation to a Deeper Understanding of Caribbean Seismicity

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Modeling Fundamentals: Accounting for the Hours Clause

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Your search for categories "Uncertainty" has returned 2 results.
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Building a Bayesian Space- and Climate-Dependent Model of Tropical Cyclone Landfalls (in Plain English)

Articles | AIR Currents Article
March 15, 2016

Research Scientist Suz Tolwinski-Ward examines a specific use of Bayesian modeling to estimate the annual probability of tropical cyclone landfalls as a function of climate state and location along the coast of North America. Her research is a part of ongoing efforts at AIR to study the impact of climate on catastrophe risk and to develop more physical modeling approaches.
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Modeling Fundamentals: Understanding Uncertainty

Articles | AIR Currents Article
April 18, 2018

In this article, Dr. Jayanta Guin, AIR Chief Research Officer, introduces some key concepts and answers the fundamental questions: What is uncertainty, where does it come from, and how is it treated in models?
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