Articles

Featured:

Managing U.S. Flood Risk: Part II, the New Pluvial Component

Read the article

The New Science of Event Attribution

Read the article

Modeling Fundamentals: Loss Modification in Touchstone

Read the article
Your search for categories "Tropical Cyclone" has returned 65 results.

Effect of Extratropical Transitioning on Pacific Typhoons

Articles | AIR Currents Article
May 14, 2009

The transition of tropical cyclones to extratropical cyclones is a relatively common occurrence and is one that occurs in both the Atlantic and Pacific Ocean basins. The impact of a transitioned storm on insured losses—particularly in terms of precipitation-induced flooding—can be significant. In this article, AIR Principal Scientist Dr. Peter Sousounis and Scientist Jason Butke discuss the phenomenon of extratropical transition in the context of Japan typhoons, as well as the challenges of forecasting it and its impact on precipitation…and insured losses.
...   Read more

Typhoon Vera's 60th Anniversary: Why Japan Re-evaluated Disaster Prevention

Articles | AIR Currents Article
September 17, 2019

September 2019 marks the 60th anniversary of Typhoon Vera, the most destructive typhoon ever to strike Japan. A significant portion of the damage was the result of storm surge and in the years following Vera's landfall, Japan responded by fortifying the entire country against future storm surge events with a comprehensive levee system. In this article, we take a look back at Typhoon Vera and what Vera’s impact would be if it were to recur with today’s defenses and without them.
...   Read more

The 2018 Hurricane Season—Another One for the Record Books

Articles | AIR Currents Article
December 19, 2018

Although The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season did not approach the record storm activity levels of 2017, it set some other records of its own.
...   Read more

Preview of the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Articles | AIR Currents Article
June 26, 2018

There is general agreement among the forecasts for this year’s Atlantic hurricane season that activity is likely to be average, or slightly above average. But while seasonal forecasts provide a general indication of what may happen, they are far from infallible. Last year’s forecasts for slightly above-average activity were generally on point, except for the spectacularly active month of September—thanks to which 2017 saw record-breaking insured losses.
...   Read more

2015 Hurricane Season in Perspective

Articles | AIR Currents Article
December 18, 2015

The 2015 hurricane season has lived up to expectations, with below-normal activity in the Atlantic basin and above-normal activity in the Eastern and Central Pacific basins. In this article, AIR Assistant Vice President and Director of Meteorology Peter Sousounis discusses notable Atlantic and Pacific storms from the season, explains how a strong and persistent El Niño and related climate factors shaped the seasonal outcomes, and reviews forecasts for the current 2015–16 Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season.
...   Read more

Building a Bayesian Space- and Climate-Dependent Model of Tropical Cyclone Landfalls (in Plain English)

Articles | AIR Currents Article
March 15, 2016

Research Scientist Suz Tolwinski-Ward examines a specific use of Bayesian modeling to estimate the annual probability of tropical cyclone landfalls as a function of climate state and location along the coast of North America. Her research is a part of ongoing efforts at AIR to study the impact of climate on catastrophe risk and to develop more physical modeling approaches.
...   Read more

Shhh... The Quiet 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Articles | AIR Currents Article
December 19, 2013

Forecast to be an above average year, the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season ended on December 1 as one of the least active on record by several measures. While named storm counts were higher than average, the number of hurricanes was far below normal levels, and no major hurricane formed. In this AIR Currents article, Tim Doggett, Senior Principal Scientist at AIR Worldwide, explores what happened this season.
...   Read more

Preview of the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Articles | AIR Currents Article
June 24, 2015

The current nine-year stretch without a major hurricane landfall in the U.S. is the longest in recorded history, and warm East Pacific sea surface temperatures suggesting a high likelihood of El Niño are furthering speculations that this lull may continue. Seasonal forecasting, however, is inherently uncertain, meaning that from a loss standpoint, anything is possible.
...   Read more

The Growing Value of U.S. Coastal Property at Risk

Articles | AIR Currents Article
April 23, 2015

The growing number and value of coastal properties is the largest factor impacting hurricane risk today. The risk is compounded by rising sea levels and the concomitant increase in damage caused by hurricane storm surge. AIR’s seminal 2005 The Coastline at Risk report, and its 2008 and 2013 updates, represent major milestones in our continuing work on quantifying coastal properties at risk.
...   Read more

Twenty Years Later and Still Topping the Charts: A Closer Look at Mireille, Japan’s Costliest Typhoon

Articles | AIR Currents Article
September 19, 2011

This year marks the 20th anniversary of Typhoon Mireille. Though its track and intensity were similar to those of other typhoons in Japan’s recent history, the damage it caused stands apart; it is still, by far, the country’s costliest typhoon. AIR’s Dr. Peter Sousounis explains why.
...   Read more

Loading...

Close

You’re almost done.
We need to confirm your email address.
To complete the registration process, please click the link in the email we just sent you.

Unable to subscribe at this moment. Please try again after some time. Contact us if the issue persists.

The email address  is already subscribed.