AIRs groundbreaking methodology for assessing the vulnerability of
corporate and industrial facilities to earthquakes is based on a rigorous, engineering-based analysis
of the response of individual structures to seismic waves. An AIR
site-specific analysis provides clients with detailed information on
expected monetary losses as well as physical damage.
Seemingly similar commercial structures in close proximity to each
other can respond quite differently to the same seismic event. Each
will respond according to its unique structural configuration. The goal of an AIR corporate site-specific analysis is to
estimate probability
distributions of potential damage from future earthquakes and resulting
monetary losses based on an engineering analysis of the facility combined with
a scientific analysis of the underlying seismic hazard. AIR provides its clients
with estimates of probable maximum and expected losses for building, contents and business
interruption separately, as well as Exceedance Probability (EP) curves.
AIRs approach to site-specific earthquake risk assessment, the Advanced
Component Method, or ACM,
captures a buildings response to earthquakes in a more realistic way than
traditional techniques that rely on expert opinion and estimate monetary
damage by multiplying estimates of the damage ratio by the replacement value
of the building. Unlike traditional methods, ACM views individual buildings as
unique and highly complex collections of individual structural and
non-structural components and models the response of those components to the
unique vibrational resonance between the building and incoming seismic waves.
Nonlinear siesmic analysis is performed on a three-dimensional
"virtual" representation of the modeled building using SAP2000, a
highly reliable engineering software application. The
benefit of ACM for companies using AIR's model is the ability to base risk
management decisions on more refined loss estimates generated using a
rigorous, engineering-based methodology.
ACMs state-of-the-art cost model estimates the cost of repair of each
damaged component. Repair costs will depend on regional price indices,
construction practices, and appropriate repair strategies. Estimates of the
monetary damage to each individual component are probabilistically combined to
achieve an estimate of the monetary damage, or cost of repair, to the building
as a whole given the degree of deformation produced by the modeled
earthquakes.
The use of hard data on repair and replacement costs ensures that an ACM analysis
can be updated every year using the most current cost information available.