For the 2006 hurricane season, AIR will offer three stochastic catalogs for its U.S. hurricane model: the standard catalog, which is based on over 100 years of historical data and over 20 years of research and development; a near-term sensitivity catalog, which reflects recent research on the influence of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) on near-term (~5 year) hurricane activity; and a 2006 seasonal hurricane catalog that accounts for the influence of current climate signals on hurricane activity for the upcoming season.

This white paper provides a review of the current state of research on climatological influences on hurricane activity and explains the approach used to create the AIR near-term sensitivity catalog, which quantifies the influence of SST forecasts on insured losses for the next five years.

The white paper is available for download by completing the information below. If you have any questions, please contact your account executive, or AIR marketing at airnews@air-worldwide.com or 617-267-6645.