In this last component of the AIR natural hazard models, insured losses
are calculated by applying the specific policy conditions to the total damage estimates. Policy conditions may
include deductibles by coverage, site-specific or blanket deductibles, coverage limits and sublimits,
loss triggers, coinsurance, attachment points and limits for single or multiple location policies,
and risk or policy specific reinsurance terms.
AIR’s models incorporate detailed distributions that account for uncertainty in
both intensity and damage calculations. This explicit modeling of
uncertainty allows, in turn, detailed probabilistic calculation of the
effects of policy conditions. The model uses convolution
techniques to propagate uncertainty throughout
calculations at each stage of the insured loss calculation.
AIR’s modeling technology allows the user to input correlation factors
(with guidance from AIR's Research and Modeling Team) to account for any potential
correlation across locations, constructions types and/or coverages.